Sport Wednesday, December 13th

Hereford v Fleetwood: FA Cup betting breakdown

Sport Wednesday, December 13th

Hereford v Fleetwood: FA Cup betting breakdown

Hereford’s got a special, Radford-shaped place in the FA Cup history books. Everyone knows that by now. But what are the chances of Peter Beadle’s current crop adding their own chapter?

Tonight they play Fleetwood Town, who sit nearly 90 places above them in the football league pyramid.

Knocking out the League One high-flyers – as a team who now sit in the seventh-tier – would be the biggest cup upset of the last few years. If they could do the unthinkable and turn over recent-Premier League champs Leicester, who await the winners, Hereford FC would undoubtedly take their place alongside the legends of ’72.

Even getting tonight’s game on looked a long-shot as recently as Tuesday night, when a small army of volunteers picked up snow shovels and came to groundman/magician Ben Bowen’s aid in shifting around four inches of powder off the Edgar Street turf.

But with the much-hyped replay not only set to go-ahead, but to be featured live on BT Sport, we thought we’d weigh in with the bookies on Hereford’s chances.



(Note: bet responsibly, and always on Hereford. Don’t be that guy. Also the odds featured are true as of 5pm Wed. They may be subject to change.)

1. To win

The big one, right? Hereford’s at 4/1 with Bet365, or 2/1 to qualify with Stan James. Fleetwood, who lost last time out are 1/3 and drifting.

If you want some more value, look at Both Teams TO Score and Hereford FC To Win (8/1 with Paddy Power) – after the first tie finished 1-1 in Fleetwood.


2. Who’s going to be the hero?

Who’s going to be the hero? The bookies like Fleetwood’s ex-City product Devante Cole (4/1 with Paddy Power) to be the Last Goalscorer, followed closely by Huddersfield loanee Jordy Hiwula at 9/2. The first Hereford player on the list is Golden Boots himself, John Mills, who’s at 6/1 with Bet Fred.

He’s the only Whites’ player to crack the top 10. But if you want some value, take a look at The Beast, Mike Symons, even if he doesn’t start, who could well find himself called on to cause havoc in the box in the latter stages of a tight game.

Also if you want a real outside bet - take a look at new signing Billy Murphy, who moved across from Bath, but is just 21 but has real pedigree following his footballing education at West Brom.

If you’re a real romantic with a spare quid, you can also get a Mills hattrick for 66/1 with SkyBet.



3. Another fast start?

Like Hereford to draw first blood, as they did in the first tie? You can get Hereford Score First at 15/8 with Paddy Power. Mills is unsurprisingly the favourite to do that (9/4) – put those two bets in a double and £5 will return £46.72.

Sky Bet are also offering Hereford To Score In The First 10 Minutes at 10/1, and the chance to wager on a dream start for the home side, scoring twice in the first half, at 12/1.


4. Drama at Edgar Street

Think it could turn in to a proper feisty cup tie? Unibet are offering 7/1 on a Hereford player seeing red, and 15/4 for a sending off from either side.

Is a late winner on the cards? Betway has the final goal being scored after 76 minutes at 21/20.

If it goes to past 90 minutes  – there will be no fingernails left in Herefordshire – but you can get a Hereford Extra Time Win at 20/1 and *eek* a win on penalties at 14/1, both with Boyle Sports.


5. On our way, on our waaay to Wembley, we're on our way?

The bookies say no. In a total show of disrespect, not one of the national bookmakers are currently offering online odds on Hereford making the final. Although Fleetwood are 5000/1 to go all the way and lift the trophy.

By Friday morning, however, they might have to come up with a number for The Whites…


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